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November 21, 2007

Like many basketball teams in February, there are several college football teams that are on the brink of earning an opportunity to play in the postseason. Odds are, many on this list will reach the six-win plateau necessary to qualify for a bowl bid. However, a few of these schools face a tough stretch to close the season.

Here's an alphabetical list of teams needing just one more victory to qualify for postseason eligibility. We'll update the list each week adding teams that make it to five wins and moving the newly bowl-eligible teams to the list on the bottom.

Rivals.com Bowl Bubble Watch
ARIZONA (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Arizona State
Why they will make it: The surging Wildcats have won three in row, including a victory over then-No. 2 Oregon.
Why they won't: Arizona State might be in position to clinch the Pac-10 championship, and could even be in the national championship race, when the teams play.
ARKANSAS STATE (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Southern Miss
Why they will make it: The Indians have won two of their past three.
Why they won't: Arkansas State is 0-5 on the road.
COLORADO (5-6)
Remaining schedule: vs. Nebraska
Why they will make it: Nebraska has won just one of its past six.
Why they won't: The Huskers' one win was in their last game and they scored 73 points.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC (5-5)
Remaining schedule: at Florida International; at Troy
Why they will make it: This week's opponent, Florida International, is winless.
Why they won't: Florida International is improving and played well the past two games in losses to Arkansas State and Louisiana-Lafayette.
KANSAS STATE (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Fresno State
Why they will make it: The Wildcats only have to beat the WAC's third-place team.
Why they won't: That third-place WAC team has scored at least 30 points in five of its past six games, and Kansas State has allowed 153 points in the past three games all losses.
LOUISIANA-MONROE (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Louisiana-Lafayette
Why they will make it: The Warhawks just beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa.
Why they won't: If there ever was a chance for an emotional letdown, this is it.
LOUISIANA TECH (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Nevada
Why they will make it: The Bulldogs have won three of their past four. That loss was at LSU, which is understandable.
Why they won't: Nevada is 10th nationally in rushing offense. Louisiana Tech ranks 39th against the run.
LOUISVILLE (5-6)
Remaining schedule: vs. Rutgers
Why they will make it: Rutgers has scored more than 20 points just once in its past four games, against Army.
Why they won't: Louisville's defense isn't much better than Army's.
MARYLAND (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at NC State
Why they will make it: Four of the Terps' six losses have been by eight or fewer points, and three of those teams are bowl-bound.
Why they won't: The Wolfpack also are one win away from bowl-eligibility and have played better of late than the Terps.
MIAMI (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Boston College
Why they will make it: In recent history, the Hurricanes have dominated BC.
Why they won't: In recent history, Miami rarely has been this mediocre.
NEBRASKA (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Colorado
Why they will make it: QB Joe Ganz has thrown 11 touchdown passes in two starts.
Why they won't: Imagine how many touchdown passes Ganz could throw if he were playing against Nebraska.
NEVADA (5-5)
Remaining schedule: at San Jose State; vs. Louisiana Tech
Why they will make it: Unbeaten Hawaii needed a last-second field goal to defeat Nevada last week.
Why they won't: Neither San Jose State nor Louisiana Tech are pushovers.
NORTH CAROLINA STATE (5-6)
Remaining schedule: vs. Maryland
Why they will make it: QB Daniel Evans has passed for more than 200 yards in each of the past five games and has eight touchdown passes in that stretch.
Why they won't: Evans also has thrown five interceptions in the past two games.
OHIO U. (5-6)
Remaining schedule: vs. Miami University
Why they will make it: The Bobcats play their decisive game at home.
Why they won't: They've already lost two home games.
TOLEDO (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Bowling Green
Why they will make it: TB Jalen Parmele has rushed for more than 100 yards in seven consecutive games and Bowling Green ranks 111th in the nation in run defense. Why they won't: Bowling Green is on a three-game winning streak and has legit bowl hopes.
UCLA (5-5)
Remaining schedule: vs. Oregon; at USC
Why they will make it: The Bruins will likely rally around embattled coach Karl Dorrell and try to save his job.
Why they won't: The Bruins lost to Notre Dame and have had a rash of injuries at quarterback.
VANDERBILT (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Wake Forest
Why they will make it: The Commodores are unbeaten against teams from outside the SEC.
Why they won't: Their previous non-conference opponents Division I-AA Richmond, Eastern Michigan and Miami University aren't nearly as good as Wake Forest.
WYOMING (5-6)
Remaining schedule: at Colorado State
Why they will make it: Colorado State has managed just two victories all season.
Why they won't: Wyoming hasn't been competitive in its past two games. The Cowboys have been outscored 85-10 in that stretch.

BOWL ELIGIBLE TEAMS
Air Force
Alabama
Arizona State
Arkansas
Auburn
Ball State
Boise State
Boston College
Bowling Green
BYU
California
Central Michigan
Cincinnati
Clemson
Connecticut
East Carolina
Florida
Florida State
Fresno State
Georgia
Georgia Tech
Hawaii
Houston
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
LSU
Memphis
Miami University
Michigan
Michigan State
Mississippi State
Missouri
Navy
New Mexico
Northwestern
Ohio State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Oregon
Oregon State
Penn State
Purdue
Rutgers
South Carolina
Southern Miss
TCU
Tennessee
Texas
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
Troy
Tulsa
UCF
USC
USF
Utah
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
West Virginia
Wisconsin

Olin Buchanan is the senior college football writer for Rivals.com. He can be reached at olin@rivals.com.



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