September 12, 2006

Five questions on New Mexico

With Kole McKamey out, how good is Chris Nelson?

Losing Kole McKamey hurts the Lobos, but Chris Nelson is a solid backup quarterback. He has good size and is an accurate passer, but he doesn't scramble as well out of the pocket. I think McKamey had a better understanding and command of the Bob Toledo's offense, which was just installed this year. But Toledo's modified West Coast offense than the spread offense also happens to be a much better fit for Nelson than the spread offense New Mexico ran last year. Nelson has been calmer under pressure than McKamey has been recently. Nelson hasn't done anything to cost New Mexico any games but he hasn't made any plays to win the Lobos games either.

What kind of an atmosphere will the Tigers walk into? Does New Mexico have much of a home-field advantage?

The homefield advantage is kind of a mixed bag. New Mexico has lost its past four home games and won its past four on the road. The team usually has a pretty strong home crowd, but I think the growing expectations of the program really took its toll on last year's team. This year's group has to proven it can snap out of that funk and perform well at home. So the Lobos ought to get a nice home bounce, but lately it has been more of a curse.

Finally, what is your prediction for the game?

I would pick Missouri to win 38-17, although I think it's hard to tell just how good Missouri playing two teams that didn't look all that great.

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